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没有问题能造出一大堆复杂问题的典范。Greg Mankiw, 这个哥们是好几任总统的首席经济顾问。胡搅蛮缠比时政网友都厉害。 (股市)

by super(学霸) ⌂, 2015-03-25 10:29 @ 学霸

published on wuwei.ca at 2015-03-25 10:29, topic link: http://wuwei.ca/index.php?id=22014

Greg Mankiw:

For example, if a member of Congress proposes a tax cut, a key issue in estimating its effect is how future Congresses will respond to the reduced revenue.

This raises important questions for which we have no easy answers. In the coming years, will these Congresses respond quickly to the revenue shortfall, or will they let budget deficits fester? When they act to close the budget gap, will they increase taxes, or will they cut spending? If they cut spending, will it be on consumption items, such as health care for the elderly, or on growth-promoting investments, such as education for the young? The impact of the initial tax cut depends crucially on the answers to these questions, but budget analysts usually have little to go on but speculation.

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